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Jake Tonges

Jake Tonges Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 3

San Francisco 49ers vs Arizona Cardinals

 
 
 
Jake Tonges Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 24.5 (-114/-114).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • The 49ers will be rolling with backup QB Mac Jones in this contest, which usually means fewer pass attempts and more rush attempts.
  • Given their underlying traits and game dynamics, the San Francisco 49ers are predicted by the projections to run 65.3 total plays in this contest: the 7th-highest number among all teams this week.
  • Opposing offenses have averaged 33.5 pass attempts per game against the Cardinals defense since the start of last season: 10th-most in the league.
  • The leading projections forecast Jake Tonges to be a more important option in his offense's passing offense this week (12.0% projected Target Share) than he has been since the start of last season (2.0% in games he has played).
  • Jake Tonges ranks as one of the best possession receivers in the league among tight ends, catching an outstanding 87.5% of passes thrown his way (adjusted for context) this year, checking in at the 75th percentile.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • Accounting for their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics, the predictive model expects the 49ers to pass on 55.5% of their plays: the 9th-lowest clip on the slate this week.
  • When it comes to air yards, Jake Tonges grades out in just the 11th percentile among TEs since the start of last season, totaling just 1.0 per game.
  • The Cardinals pass defense has displayed strong efficiency against tight ends since the start of last season, allowing 6.84 adjusted yards-per-target to the position: the 10th-fewest in the league.
  • The Arizona Cardinals linebackers rank as the best unit in football since the start of last season when it comes to pass rush.

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