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Jake Tonges

Jake Tonges Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 20

Seattle Seahawks vs San Francisco 49ers

 
 
 
Jake Tonges Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 35.5 (-110/-120).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 35.5 @ +100 before it was bet up to 35.5 @ -110.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • An extreme throwing game script is suggested by the 49ers being an enormous -7.5-point underdog this week.
  • Accounting for their underlying play style and matchup dynamics, the predictive model expects the 49ers to pass on 59.6% of their plays: the 2nd-highest frequency among all teams this week.
  • Opposing teams have averaged 36.1 pass attempts per game vs. the Seahawks defense this year: 3rd-most in the league.
  • The leading projections forecast Jake Tonges to notch 5.8 targets in this week's contest, on balance, putting him in the 90th percentile when it comes to TEs.
  • While Jake Tonges has received 8.7% of his offense's targets in games he has played this year, the leading projections forecast him to be much more involved in San Francisco's passing offense in this contest at 17.0%.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • The leading projections forecast the 49ers to call the fewest offensive plays on the slate this week with 63.9 plays, based on their underlying tendencies and game dynamics.
  • Jake Tonges rates as one of the worst tight ends in the league at generating extra yardage, averaging a measly 0.00 yards-after-the-catch (YAC) this year while ranking in the 2nd percentile.
  • This year, the fierce Seahawks defense has conceded a paltry 71.9% Adjusted Completion Rate versus opposing tight ends: the 8th-best rate in the NFL.
  • When it comes to safeties in pass coverage, Seattle's collection of safeties has been great this year, grading out as the 5th-best in the NFL.

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