My Account Log Out

reorder

Jake Ferguson

Jake Ferguson Touchdowns
Player Prop Week 6

Carolina Panthers vs Dallas Cowboys

Jake Ferguson Touchdowns Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (+180/-192).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 0.5 @ -184 before it was bet down to 0.5 @ -192.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

The 6th-largest volume of plays in football have been run by the Cowboys this year (a staggering 61.0 per game on average).

While Jake Ferguson has accounted for 19.2% of his team's red zone targets in games he has played this year, our trusted projections expect him to be a less important option in Dallas's pass game near the goal line this week at 4.0%.

Jake Ferguson has compiled significantly more air yards this season (42.0 per game) than he did last season (26.0 per game).

Jake Ferguson's 47.5 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced statistic that measures high-value offensive volume) has been quite a bit higher this year than it was last year at 31.3.

Jake Ferguson's 85.2% Adjusted Catch% this year illustrates a substantial boost in his pass-catching prowess over last year's 71.2% rate.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

This week's spread implies a running game script for the Cowboys, who are favored by 3 points.

Based on the game dynamics and the underlying play styles of each team, this contest is anticipated by the projection model to see only 126.5 total plays run: the 3rd-fewest on the slate this week.

The forecast calls for 17-mph wind in this game. High wind typically means lower pass volume (and higher run volume) and lessened passing effectiveness.

When talking about pass protection (and the effect it has on all passing attack statistics), the O-line of the Dallas Cowboys ranks as the 2nd-worst in the NFL this year.

More Jake Ferguson Player Props

© 2022 EV Analytics | Data by WriteNow™