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Jake Ferguson

Jake Ferguson Touchdowns
Player Prop Week 17

Washington Commanders vs Dallas Cowboys

 
 
 
Jake Ferguson Touchdowns Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (+190/-200).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 0.5 @ -198 before it was bet down to 0.5 @ -200.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • At the moment, the 9th-most pass-oriented team in football (62.4% adjusted for context) according to the predictive model is the Dallas Cowboys.
  • Accounting for their underlying strategic approach and game dynamics, the Dallas Cowboys are anticipated by our trusted projection set to call 66.9 offensive plays in this contest: the 4th-most on the slate this week.
  • The 6th-largest volume of plays in the NFL have been run by the Cowboys this year (a massive 59.8 per game on average).
  • Jake Ferguson has been heavily involved in his team's passing attack near the goal line, earning a Red Zone Target Share of 21.6% this year, which puts him in the 91st percentile when it comes to tight ends.
  • Jake Ferguson has accrued a monstrous 32.0 air yards per game this year: 82nd percentile when it comes to TEs.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • This game's line implies a running game script for the Cowboys, who are favored by 6.5 points.
  • The Dallas O-line ranks as the worst in the league this year in protecting the QB, which has a harmful influence on all passing game statistics across the board.

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