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Jake Ferguson

Jake Ferguson Receptions
Player Prop Week 2

Dallas Cowboys vs New York Giants

Jake Ferguson Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 4.5 (+112/-143).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 4.5 @ +115 before it was bet up to 4.5 @ +112.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

The 2nd-most plays in football have been run by the Dallas Cowboys since the start of last season (a staggering 60.4 per game on average).

This game will be played in a dome—which means no wind, higher pass volume, higher TD potential, and increased passing efficiency.

The predictive model expects Jake Ferguson to accumulate 5.7 targets in this game, on balance, ranking him in the 88th percentile when it comes to TEs.

With a remarkable 16.7% Target% (88th percentile) since the start of last season, Jake Ferguson rates as one of the tight ends with the most usage in the league.

With a stellar 4.2 adjusted receptions per game (90th percentile) since the start of last season, Jake Ferguson has been as one of the best pass-catching TEs in the league.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

With a 5-point advantage, the Cowboys are favored in this game, indicating more of a focus on running than their normal game plan.

Our trusted projections expect this game to have the smallest number of plays run out of all the games this week at 125.3 plays, based on the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.

Opposing quarterbacks teams have been hesitant to lean on the pass against the New York Giants, totaling the 2nd-fewest attempts in the NFL (a measly 28.3 per game) since the start of last season.

The Dallas Cowboys O-line ranks as the 8th-worst in the league since the start of last season in protecting the quarterback, which has a negative impact on all air attack statistics across the board.

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