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Jake Ferguson

Jake Ferguson Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 6

Carolina Panthers vs Dallas Cowboys

Jake Ferguson Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 51.5 (-120/-108).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 44.5 @ -116 before it was bet up to 51.5 @ -120.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

The 6th-largest volume of plays in football have been run by the Cowboys this year (a staggering 61.0 per game on average).

In this contest, Jake Ferguson is projected by the projections to land in the 99th percentile among TEs with 8.8 targets.

Jake Ferguson's 25.3% Target Share this season signifies a meaningful progression in his pass game usage over last season's 16.6% figure.

Jake Ferguson has compiled significantly more air yards this season (42.0 per game) than he did last season (26.0 per game).

Jake Ferguson's 45.0 adjusted receiving yards per game this season reflects a substantial growth in his pass-catching skills over last season's 34.0 figure.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

This week's spread implies a running game script for the Cowboys, who are favored by 3 points.

Based on the game dynamics and the underlying play styles of each team, this contest is anticipated by the projection model to see only 126.5 total plays run: the 3rd-fewest on the slate this week.

The forecast calls for 17-mph wind in this game. High wind typically means lower pass volume (and higher run volume) and lessened passing effectiveness.

When talking about pass protection (and the effect it has on all passing attack statistics), the O-line of the Dallas Cowboys ranks as the 2nd-worst in the NFL this year.

Jake Ferguson comes in as one of the least effective pass-catchers in the NFL among tight ends, averaging a lowly 5.58 adjusted yards-per-target this year while grading out in the 20th percentile.

More Jake Ferguson Player Props

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