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Jake Ferguson

Jake Ferguson Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 3

Chicago Bears vs Dallas Cowboys

Jake Ferguson Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 41.5 (-113/-111).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 39.5 @ -110 before it was bet up to 41.5 @ -113.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

The predictive model expects this game to have the 3rd-most plays run out of all the games this week at 132.2 plays, given the approaches of each team and game dynamics.

The Cowboys have called the 2nd-most plays in football since the start of last season, totaling a colossal 61.3 plays per game.

In this week's game, Jake Ferguson is predicted by our trusted projection set to slot into the 96th percentile among tight ends with 6.7 targets.

Jake Ferguson has been a key part of his team's pass game, earning a Target Share of 17.3% since the start of last season, which ranks him in the 87th percentile among tight ends.

When it comes to air yards, Jake Ferguson ranks in the towering 84th percentile among tight ends since the start of last season, averaging an impressive 29.0 per game.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

The Cowboys have played in the 9th-most "low wind" (4-mph or less) games in the NFL since the start of last season, which should mean reduced pass volume, increased running volume, and reduced passing attack effectiveness when facing windier conditions in this game.

Opposing QBs teams have been afraid to pass too much against the Chicago Bears, averaging the 5th-fewest attempts in the league (a lowly 29.8 per game) since the start of last season.

In regards to pass protection (and the effect it has on all pass attack statistics), the O-line of the Cowboys ranks as the 7th-worst in the NFL since the start of last season.

Jake Ferguson's 0.00 yards-after-the-catch (YAC) this year indicates a material diminishment in his effectiveness in the open field over last year's 5.2% rate.

More Jake Ferguson Player Props

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