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Jake Ferguson

Jake Ferguson Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 2

Dallas Cowboys vs New York Giants

Jake Ferguson Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 38.5 (-115/-109).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 39.5 @ -111 before it was bet down to 38.5 @ -109.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

The 2nd-most plays in football have been run by the Dallas Cowboys since the start of last season (a staggering 60.4 per game on average).

This game will be played in a dome—which means no wind, higher pass volume, higher TD potential, and increased passing efficiency.

The predictive model expects Jake Ferguson to accumulate 5.7 targets in this game, on balance, ranking him in the 88th percentile when it comes to TEs.

With a remarkable 16.7% Target% (88th percentile) since the start of last season, Jake Ferguson rates as one of the tight ends with the most usage in the league.

In regards to air yards, Jake Ferguson ranks in the lofty 82nd percentile among TEs since the start of last season, accumulating an impressive 26.0 per game.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

With a 5-point advantage, the Cowboys are favored in this game, indicating more of a focus on running than their normal game plan.

Our trusted projections expect this game to have the smallest number of plays run out of all the games this week at 125.3 plays, based on the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.

Opposing quarterbacks teams have been hesitant to lean on the pass against the New York Giants, totaling the 2nd-fewest attempts in the NFL (a measly 28.3 per game) since the start of last season.

The Dallas Cowboys O-line ranks as the 8th-worst in the league since the start of last season in protecting the quarterback, which has a negative impact on all air attack statistics across the board.

Jake Ferguson's 4.0 adjusted yards per target this season shows a material decrease in his receiving ability over last season's 5.9 rate.

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