reorder

Jake Ferguson Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 17

Washington Commanders vs Dallas Cowboys

Jake Ferguson Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 38.5 (-111/-111).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 36.5 @ -111 before it was bet up to 38.5 @ -111.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

At the moment, the 9th-most pass-oriented team in football (62.4% adjusted for context) according to the predictive model is the Dallas Cowboys.

Accounting for their underlying strategic approach and game dynamics, the Dallas Cowboys are anticipated by our trusted projection set to call 66.6 offensive plays in this contest: the 6th-most on the slate this week.

The 6th-largest volume of plays in the NFL have been run by the Cowboys this year (a massive 59.8 per game on average).

Jake Ferguson's 77.5% Route Participation% this season indicates a material growth in his pass game usage over last season's 67.0% figure.

This week, Jake Ferguson is forecasted by the projections to position himself in the 90th percentile among TEs with 6.1 targets.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

This game's line implies a running game script for the Cowboys, who are favored by 6.5 points.

The Dallas O-line ranks as the worst in the league this year in protecting the QB, which has a harmful influence on all passing game statistics across the board.

With a weak 6.2 adjusted yards per target (14th percentile) this year, Jake Ferguson has been as one of the weakest TEs in the pass game in the NFL.

Jake Ferguson's skills in generating extra yardage have declined this year, averaging a mere 0.00 yards-after-the-catch (YAC) compared to a 5.24 figure last year.

More Jake Ferguson Player Props

Jake Ferguson Receiving YardsPlayer Prop Week 17

Washington Commanders vs Dallas Cowboys

Jake Ferguson Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 17