My Account Log Out
 
 
Jake Ferguson

Jake Ferguson Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 11

Las Vegas Raiders vs Dallas Cowboys

 
 
 
Jake Ferguson Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 37.5 (+109/-113).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 33.5 @ -119 before it was bet up to 37.5 @ +109.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • The 9th-most plays in the NFL have been called by the Dallas Cowboys this year (a whopping 59.1 per game on average).
  • The passing games of both teams (as it relates to both volume and effectiveness) stand to benefit from the calm "weather" conditions (read: no wind) inside this dome, while rush volume may suffer.
  • This week, Jake Ferguson is anticipated by the projection model to find himself in the 98th percentile among tight ends with 7.6 targets.
  • Jake Ferguson has totaled many more air yards this year (35.0 per game) than he did last year (26.0 per game).
  • Jake Ferguson's 39.7 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced stat that quantifies high-value offensive usage) has been significantly better this season than it was last season at 31.3.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • This week's spread suggests a rushing game script for the Cowboys, who are favored by 3.5 points.
  • Given their underlying traits and matchup dynamics, the projections expect the Cowboys to pass on 59.4% of their plays: the 8th-greatest rate on the slate this week.
  • Given the game dynamics and the underlying play styles of each team, this game is predicted by the predictive model to have just 125.6 plays on offense called: the lowest number among all games this week.
  • As it relates to pass-blocking (and the effect it has on all pass attack statistics), the O-line of the Dallas Cowboys ranks as the worst in football this year.
  • With a subpar 6.0 adjusted yards per target (12th percentile) this year, Jake Ferguson stands among the bottom pass-catching TEs in the NFL.

  •  
     
     
     
     
    © 2025 EV Analytics   |   Data by WriteNow™