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Jake Ferguson

Jake Ferguson Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 17

Tennessee Titans vs Dallas Cowboys

Jake Ferguson Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 10.5 (+135/-175).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 10.5 @ -145 before it was bet down to 10.5 @ -175.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

THE BLITZ projects the Cowboys to run the 2nd-most plays on offense on the slate this week with 68.1 plays, accounting for their underlying tendencies and game dynamics.

Opposing quarterbacks have averaged 42.5 pass attempts per game versus the Tennessee Titans defense this year: most in the league.

The Tennessee Titans defense has given up the 2nd-most receiving yards per game in football (68.0) vs. tight ends this year.

The Tennessee Titans pass defense has shown poor efficiency vs. tight ends this year, conceding 8.64 yards-per-target to the position: the 5th-most in the league.

The Tennessee Titans pass defense has struggled when opposing TEs have gotten into space, giving up an average of 5.91 yards-after-the-catch this year: the 7th-most in football.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

The Cowboys are a 3.5-point favorite this week, indicating a rushing game script.

THE BLITZ projects the Dallas Cowboys as the 4th-least pass-oriented offense among all teams this week with a 50.8% pass rate, accounting for their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.

The Tennessee Titans safeties grade out as the 3rd-best collection of safeties in the NFL this year in covering pass-catchers.

The Dallas Cowboys have been faced with a stacked the box on a mere 13.3% of their plays since the start of last season, 8th-least in the league. Keeping an extra defender close to the line of scrimmage improves run-stopping at the cost of better passing efficiency.

The Tennessee Titans have stacked the box vs. opponents on just 10.1% of their plays since the start of last season, 4th-least in football. Choosing not to position an extra defender near the line of scrimmage improves pass defense at the expense of run-stopping.

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