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Jake Browning

Jake Browning Rushing Yards
Player Prop Week 4

Denver Broncos vs Cincinnati Bengals

Jake Browning Rushing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 8.5 (-117/-108).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 9.5 @ -111 before it was bet down to 8.5 @ -108.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

The leading projections forecast this game to see the 3rd-most plays run on the slate this week at 130.2 plays, based on the approaches of each team and game dynamics.

The model projects Jake Browning to be much more involved in his team's running game in this week's contest (12.0% projected Carry Share) than he has been since the start of last season (2.3% in games he has played).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

The Bengals will be rolling out backup QB Jake Browning in this game, which typically means fewer pass attempts and more rushing.

The Bengals are a big 7.5-point underdog in this week's contest, likely leading to an extreme passing game script.

Based on their underlying propensities and matchup dynamics, the predictive model expects the Cincinnati Bengals to run on 36.3% of their plays: the lowest rate among all teams this week.

In this contest, Jake Browning is projected by our trusted projection set to total the 6th-fewest carries among all quarterbacks with 2.8.

The Denver Broncos defense has had the 3rd-best efficiency against opposing ground games since the start of last season, giving up just 3.96 adjusted yards-per-carry (YPC).

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