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Jake Browning

Jake Browning Rushing Yards
Player Prop Week 15

Cincinnati Bengals vs Minnesota Vikings

 
 
 
Jake Browning Rushing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 12.5 (-110/-110).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 13.5 @ -113 before it was bet down to 12.5 @ -110.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • With a 3-point advantage, the Bengals are favored in this game, indicating more of a focus on rushing than their normal approach.
  • Accounting for their underlying traits and game dynamics, the Cincinnati Bengals are forecasted by the predictive model to call 67.2 plays on offense in this game: the 3rd-highest number on the slate this week.
  • In this week's contest, Jake Browning is anticipated by the projection model to accrue the 10th-most rush attempts among all QBs with 4.7.
  • The leading projections forecast Jake Browning to be a more integral piece of his team's rushing attack in this week's game (17.9% projected Carry Share) than he has been this year (8.7% in games he has played).
  • Jake Browning's running effectiveness (7.14 adjusted yards per carry) has been some of the best in the NFL this year (93rd percentile among quarterbacks).

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • The leading projections forecast the Bengals to be the 9th-least run-focused offense on the slate this week with a 39.4% run rate, accounting for their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
  • The 7th-smallest volume of plays in the NFL have been called by the Bengals this year (a measly 55.9 per game on average).
  • The Bengals offensive line grades out as the 10th-worst in the league last year in run support.
  • This year, the imposing Vikings run defense has allowed a measly 93.0 adjusted yards per game on the ground to opposing offenses: the 5th-best in the league.
  • The Vikings defensive tackles project as the 4th-best unit in the league this year when it comes to defending the run.

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