Jake Browning Rushing Yards - Player Prop Bet Week 15

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Jake Browning

NFL · Player Props

Jake Browning

QB · Cincinnati Bengals

Rushing Yards

Cincinnati Bengals vs Minnesota Vikings · Week 15, 2023

Updated Dec 17, 2023 3:51 AM UTC

Analysis

Jake Browning Rushing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 12.5 (-110/-110).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 13.5 @ -113 before it was bet down to 12.5 @ -110.

Key Factors

Favors Over

With a 3-point advantage, the Bengals are favored in this game, indicating more of a focus on rushing than their normal approach.
Accounting for their underlying traits and game dynamics, the Cincinnati Bengals are forecasted by the predictive model to call 67.2 plays on offense in this game: the 3rd-highest number on the slate this week.
In this week's contest, Jake Browning is anticipated by the projection model to accrue the 10th-most rush attempts among all QBs with 4.7.
The leading projections forecast Jake Browning to be a more integral piece of his team's rushing attack in this week's game (17.9% projected Carry Share) than he has been this year (8.7% in games he has played).
Jake Browning's running effectiveness (7.14 adjusted yards per carry) has been some of the best in the NFL this year (93rd percentile among quarterbacks).

Favors Under

The leading projections forecast the Bengals to be the 9th-least run-focused offense on the slate this week with a 39.4% run rate, accounting for their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
The 7th-smallest volume of plays in the NFL have been called by the Bengals this year (a measly 55.9 per game on average).
The Bengals offensive line grades out as the 10th-worst in the league last year in run support.
This year, the imposing Vikings run defense has allowed a measly 93.0 adjusted yards per game on the ground to opposing offenses: the 5th-best in the league.
The Vikings defensive tackles project as the 4th-best unit in the league this year when it comes to defending the run.

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