Jake Browning Rushing Yards - Player Prop Bet Week 14

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Jake Browning

NFL · Player Props

Jake Browning

QB · Cincinnati Bengals

Rushing Yards

Cincinnati Bengals vs Indianapolis Colts · Week 14, 2023

Updated Dec 10, 2023 8:56 PM UTC

Analysis

Jake Browning Rushing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 19.5 (+155/-215).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 12.5 @ -113 before it was bet up to 19.5 @ +155.

Key Factors

Favors Over

A rushing game script is indicated by the Bengals being a 3-point favorite in this week's contest.
Given the game dynamics and the underlying tendencies of each team, this contest is anticipated by our trusted projection set to have 138.0 plays on offense run: the most among all games this week.
The model projects Jake Browning to garner 5.4 carries in this contest, on average: the 7th-most among all quarterbacks.
While Jake Browning has garnered 7.8% of his team's rush attempts in games he has played this year, the projections expect him to be a more integral piece of Cincinnati's rushing attack in this game at 19.1%.
With a stellar record of 8.8 adjusted yards per carry (YPC) (100th percentile), Jake Browning stands among the best rushing quarterbacks in football this year.

Favors Under

The Cincinnati Bengals may throw the ball less in this week's game (and hand the ball off more) because they be starting backup QB Jake Browning.
The model projects the Cincinnati Bengals as the 10th-least run-heavy offense among all teams this week with a 40.4% run rate, based on their underlying play style and matchup dynamics.
The 10th-smallest volume of plays in football have been run by the Cincinnati Bengals this year (a measly 56.2 per game on average).
The Cincinnati O-line profiles as the 10th-worst in the league last year at run-game blocking.

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