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Jake Browning

Jake Browning Carries
Player Prop Week 4

Denver Broncos vs Cincinnati Bengals

 
 
 
Jake Browning Carries Prop is currently Over/Under 2.5 (-108/-105).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 2.5 @ -105 before it was bet down to 2.5 @ -105.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • The leading projections forecast this game to see the 3rd-most plays run on the slate this week at 130.2 plays, based on the approaches of each team and game dynamics.
  • The model projects Jake Browning to be much more involved in his team's running game in this week's contest (12.0% projected Carry Share) than he has been since the start of last season (2.3% in games he has played).

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • The Bengals will be rolling out backup QB Jake Browning in this game, which typically means fewer pass attempts and more rushing.
  • The Bengals are a big 7.5-point underdog in this week's contest, likely leading to an extreme passing game script.
  • Based on their underlying propensities and matchup dynamics, the predictive model expects the Cincinnati Bengals to run on 36.3% of their plays: the lowest rate among all teams this week.
  • In this contest, Jake Browning is projected by our trusted projection set to total the 6th-fewest carries among all quarterbacks with 2.8.
  • The Denver Broncos safeties project as the 6th-best safety corps in football since the start of last season when it comes to defending the run.

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