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Jake Browning

Jake Browning Carries
Player Prop Week 3

Minnesota Vikings vs Cincinnati Bengals

Jake Browning Carries Prop is currently Over/Under 2.5 (-167/+128).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 3.5 @ -179 before it was bet down to 2.5 @ +128.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

The predictive model expects the Cincinnati Bengals offense to be the 8th-quickest paced team in the NFL (context-neutralized) at the moment, averaging 27.51 seconds per snap.

The predictive model expects Jake Browning to be a much bigger part of his team's rushing attack this week (12.9% projected Carry Share) than he has been since the start of last season (1.4% in games he has played).

As it relates to the defensive ends' role in run defense, Minnesota's group of DEs has been easily exploitable since the start of last season, ranking as the 2nd-worst in football. in football.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

The Bengals may pass less in this week's game (and call more carries) because they be forced to utilize backup QB Jake Browning.

At a -3-point disadvantage, the Bengals are underdogs this week, suggesting more of an emphasis on throwing than their usual approach.

The model projects the Cincinnati Bengals to be the least run-focused offense among all teams this week with a 34.7% run rate, accounting for their underlying play style and matchup dynamics.

This game will be played in a dome—which means zero wind, increased pass volume, increased TD potential, and better passing efficiency.

In this game, Jake Browning is expected by our trusted projection set to garner the 11th-fewest carries among all quarterbacks with 2.8.

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