|
|
Jake Bobo Touchdowns Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (+750/-1000).
The money has been on the Under as it opened 0.5 @ -800 before it was bet down to 0.5 @ -1000.
|
|
|
|
|
|
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
|
|
Accounting for the game dynamics and the underlying traits of each team, this contest is expected by our trusted projection set to have 134.1 offensive plays run: the 4th-highest number out of all the games this week.Still weather conditions (like the 4-mph wind being predicted in this game) usually cause increased passing effectiveness, increased TD potential, increased air attack volume, and reduced ground volume.Opposing teams have completed passes at the 10th-highest level in the NFL vs. the Commanders defense this year (72.6% Adjusted Completion%).The Washington Commanders defense has conceded the 9th-most receiving touchdowns in the NFL to wide receivers: 1.00 per game this year.As it relates to linebackers in covering receivers, Washington's group of LBs has been awful this year, grading out as the 2nd-worst in football.
|
|
|
|
|
|
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
|
|
With a 3-point advantage, the Seahawks are favored in this week's contest, suggesting more of a focus on running than their typical approach.The leading projections forecast the Seattle Seahawks to be the 4th-least pass-focused team among all teams this week with a 54.4% pass rate, given their underlying strategic approach and matchup dynamics.At the moment, the 2nd-most run-centric offense in the league in the red zone (50.3% adjusted for context) according to the model is the Seattle Seahawks.The 7th-fewest plays in the league have been called by the Seahawks this year (just 52.7 per game on average).Jake Bobo has been not been very involved his team's pass game near the goal line, posting a Red Zone Target Share of just 0.0% this year, which puts him in the 1st percentile when it comes to wide receivers.
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
