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Jake Bobo

Jake Bobo Touchdowns
Player Prop Week 18

San Francisco 49ers vs Seattle Seahawks

 
 
 
Jake Bobo Touchdowns Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (+960/-8250).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 0.5 @ -7750 before it was bet down to 0.5 @ -8250.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • The 49ers defense has been a notorious pass funnel this year, allowing opposing teams to attempt the 8th-most passes in the league (36.2 per game) this year.
  • Opposing squads have rushed for the 7th-fewest touchdowns in the NFL (0.75 per game) against the 49ers defense this year.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • The predictive model expects the Seahawks offense to skew 7.5% more towards running than it did last year (in a neutral context) with offensive coordinator Klint Kubiak now calling the plays.
  • The model projects the Seattle Seahawks to be the 6th-least pass-centric team among all teams this week with a 53.7% pass rate, accounting for their underlying propensities and matchup dynamics.
  • Right now, the 7th-slowest paced team in the NFL (in a neutral context) according to the projection model is the Seahawks.
  • The forecast calls for 16-mph wind in this game. High wind typically means lower pass volume (and increased run volume) and lessened passing effectiveness.
  • With a bottom-tier 0.0% Red Zone Target Rate (1st percentile) this year, Jake Bobo has been as one of the wide receivers with the highest volume near the end zone in the NFL.

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