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Jahmyr Gibbs

Jahmyr Gibbs Touchdowns
Player Prop Week 5

Cincinnati Bengals vs Detroit Lions

Jahmyr Gibbs Touchdowns Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (-198/+180).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 0.5 @ -200 before it was bet up to 0.5 @ -198.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Opposing teams have averaged 39.2 pass attempts per game against the Cincinnati Bengals defense this year: 8th-most in the league.

The projections expect Jahmyr Gibbs to be a less important option in his offense's running game near the end zone this week (48.9% projected Red Zone Carry Share) than he has been this year (66.7% in games he has played).

Jahmyr Gibbs's 27.6 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced stat that weighs high-value offensive involvement) has been significantly higher this year than it was last year at 18.2.

Jahmyr Gibbs's 96.1% Adjusted Catch Rate this year marks a significant progression in his pass-catching ability over last year's 82.3% figure.

The Bengals pass defense has been torched for the highest Adjusted Completion% in the NFL (91%) vs. RBs since the start of last season (91.0%).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

This game's line suggests an extreme running game script for the Lions, who are a massive favorite by 10 points.

Our trusted projections expect the Detroit Lions to be the 3rd-least pass-focused offense among all teams this week with a 53.1% pass rate, accounting for their underlying strategic approach and matchup dynamics.

Our trusted projections expect the Lions to be the 10th-most run-centric team in the league near the goal line (context-neutralized) at the present time with a 45.5% red zone run rate.

Our trusted projections expect this game to see the 3rd-smallest number of plays run out of all the games this week at 125.8 plays, given the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.

The receiving TD column reads "0" on Jahmyr Gibbs's box scores this year.

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