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Jahmyr Gibbs Touchdowns Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (-123/+117).
The money has been on the Over as it opened 0.5 @ -111 before it was bet up to 0.5 @ -123.
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FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
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The Lions are a 4.5-point underdog in this week's game, likely creating a passing game script.The leading projections forecast the Detroit Lions as the 7th-most pass-centric team on the slate this week with a 60.4% pass rate, based on their underlying traits and matchup dynamics.The 6th-largest volume of plays in the NFL have been called by the Lions since the start of last season (a massive 59.3 per game on average).The forecast calls for 4-mph wind in this game. Low wind typically means increased pass volume, and lower ground volume, increased touchdown potential, and increased passing efficiency.The Baltimore Ravens defense has been a notorious pass funnel since the start of last season, allowing opposing quarterbacks to attempt the most passes in the league (38.8 per game) since the start of last season.
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FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
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Our trusted projections expect the Lions to run the fewest total plays among all teams this week with 63.4 plays, given their underlying play style and game dynamics.The Lions have played in the most "low wind" (4-mph or less) games in the league since the start of last season, which ought to mean lower pass volume, higher running volume, and reduced offense results when facing windier conditions in this week's contest.Out of all RBs, Jahmyr Gibbs ranks in the 93rd percentile for red zone rush attempts this year, making up 70.0% of the volume in his offense's rushing attack near the goal line.Jahmyr Gibbs has notched a puny -1.0 air yards per game since the start of last season: just 25th percentile among RBs.Jahmyr Gibbs has rushed for 0.89 touchdowns per game on the ground since the start of last season (on average), one of the largest marks in the league when it comes to RBs (98th percentile).
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