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Jahmyr Gibbs

Jahmyr Gibbs Touchdowns
Player Prop Week 14

Detroit Lions vs Dallas Cowboys

 
 
 
Jahmyr Gibbs Touchdowns Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (-215/+192).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 0.5 @ -270 before it was bet up to 0.5 @ -215.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • The leading projections forecast the Detroit Lions to call the 2nd-most total plays among all teams this week with 66.8 plays, based on their underlying traits and game dynamics.
  • This game will be played in a dome—meaning zero wind, increased pass volume, increased touchdown potential, and increased passing effectiveness.
  • The Cowboys defense has been a notorious pass funnel this year, leading opposing quarterbacks to attempt the 6th-most passes in football (37.9 per game) this year.
  • Jahmyr Gibbs's 25.0 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced statistic that weighs high-value offensive volume) has been notably higher this year than it was last year at 18.2.
  • Jahmyr Gibbs's sure-handedness have gotten a boost this season, with his Adjusted Catch Rate rising from 82.3% to 86.7%.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • With a 3.5-point advantage, the Lions are favored this week, suggesting more of a focus on running than their standard game plan.
  • Our trusted projections expect the Detroit Lions to be the 8th-least pass-heavy offense in the NFL (adjusted for context) right now with a 58.6% pass rate.
  • Jahmyr Gibbs has been given 62.1% of his team's red zone rush attempts this year, ranking him in the 93rd percentile when it comes to RBs.
  • When talking about pocket protection (and the influence it has on all passing game statistics), the O-line of the Detroit Lions grades out as the 9th-worst in football this year.
  • With an outstanding ratio of 0.77 TDs on the ground per game (98th percentile), Jahmyr Gibbs ranks among the top rushing touchdown-scorers in the league this year.

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