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Jahmyr Gibbs

Jahmyr Gibbs Touchdowns
Player Prop Week 13

Detroit Lions vs Green Bay Packers

 
 
 
Jahmyr Gibbs Touchdowns Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (-180/+164).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 0.5 @ -200 before it was bet up to 0.5 @ -180.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • Based on their underlying strategic approach and matchup dynamics, the leading projections forecast the Lions to pass on 60.8% of their downs: the 7th-highest rate among all teams this week.
  • The leading projections forecast the Lions to call the 5th-most plays on offense among all teams this week with 66.2 plays, accounting for their underlying traits and game dynamics.
  • The pass attacks of both teams (including both volume and effectiveness) stand to benefit from the calm "weather" conditions (meaning no wind) inside this dome, while rush volume may fall-off.
  • Opposing teams have averaged 35.9 pass attempts per game versus the Packers defense this year: 9th-most in football.
  • Jahmyr Gibbs's 25.0 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced stat that weighs high-value offensive involvement) has been significantly better this season than it was last season at 18.2.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • With a 3-point advantage, the Lions are favored in this week's contest, implying more of a focus on running than their normal game plan.
  • With a 54.0% rate of running the ball in the red zone (in a neutral context) this year, the 7th-most run-centric offense in the league in these situations has been the Lions.
  • Jahmyr Gibbs has earned 64.8% of his team's red zone rush attempts this year, ranking him in the 94th percentile when it comes to RBs.
  • When it comes to air yards, Jahmyr Gibbs ranks in the measly 24th percentile among RBs this year, totaling just -2.0 per game.
  • With a terrific rate of 0.83 touchdowns on the ground per game (98th percentile), Jahmyr Gibbs stands as one of the best rushing touchdown-scorers in the league this year.

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