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Jahmyr Gibbs

Jahmyr Gibbs Touchdowns
Player Prop Week 12

Detroit Lions vs New York Giants

 
 
 
Jahmyr Gibbs Touchdowns Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (-290/+130).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 0.5 @ +130 before it was bet down to 0.5 @ +130.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • The model projects the Detroit Lions to run the 2nd-most total plays on the slate this week with 66.6 plays, accounting for their underlying strategic approach and game dynamics.
  • The air attacks of both teams (as it relates to both volume and effectiveness) ought to benefit from the calm "weather" conditions (as in no wind) inside this dome, while ground volume may suffer.
  • Jahmyr Gibbs ranks in the 95th percentile for RB WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced statistic that quantifies high-value offensive volume) with a superb 22.2 mark this year.
  • Jahmyr Gibbs's sure-handedness have gotten a boost this season, with his Adjusted Catch% jumping from 82.4% to 86.6%.
  • With an impressive ratio of 0.18 per game through the air (89th percentile), Jahmyr Gibbs has been among the leading receiving touchdown-scorers in the NFL when it comes to running backs this year.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • An extreme rushing game script is indicated by the Lions being an enormous 13-point favorite in this week's game.
  • The predictive model expects the Detroit Lions to be the 10th-most run-oriented team in football near the end zone (context-neutralized) at the present time with a 46.4% red zone run rate.
  • Jahmyr Gibbs has garnered 66.0% of his offense's red zone carries this year, ranking him in the 93rd percentile among running backs.
  • When talking about pocket protection (and the ramifications it has on all passing attack stats), the offensive line of the Lions ranks as the 8th-worst in the league this year.
  • With a stellar rate of 0.73 touchdowns on the ground per game (97th percentile), Jahmyr Gibbs places among the top rushing touchdown-scorers in football this year.

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