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Jahmyr Gibbs

Jahmyr Gibbs Touchdowns
Player Prop Week 11

Philadelphia Eagles vs Detroit Lions

 
 
 
Jahmyr Gibbs Touchdowns Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (-125/+109).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 0.5 @ -125 before it was bet up to 0.5 @ -125.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • Jahmyr Gibbs has been heavily involved in his team's pass game near the end zone, earning a Red Zone Target Share of 15.6% this year, which ranks in the 94th percentile when it comes to RBs.
  • Jahmyr Gibbs slots into the 94th percentile among RB WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced stat that examines high-value offensive volume) with an impressive 20.2 mark this year.
  • Jahmyr Gibbs's possession skills have improved this year, with his Adjusted Completion Rate increasing from 82.3% to 92.1%.
  • With an exceptional rate of 0.20 per game through the air (89th percentile), Jahmyr Gibbs rates among the leading receiving touchdown-scorers in football when it comes to RBs this year.
  • The Eagles defense has conceded the 3rd-most TDs through the air in football to running backs: 0.33 per game this year.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • Right now, the 8th-most run-focused team in football near the end zone (46.5% in a neutral context) according to the projections is the Detroit Lions.
  • The projections expect the Lions to run the 4th-fewest plays on offense on the slate this week with 62.8 plays, given their underlying propensities and game dynamics.
  • The forecast calls for 12-mph wind in this game. High wind generally means lower pass volume (and higher run volume) and lessened passing efficiency.
  • When talking about air yards, Jahmyr Gibbs grades out in the lowly 24th percentile among RBs this year, with just -2.0 per game.
  • With a stellar rate of 0.80 touchdowns on the ground per game (97th percentile), Jahmyr Gibbs stands as one of the leading rushing TD-scorers in the NFL this year.

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