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The Lions are a heavy 9.5-point favorite in this week's contest, likely creating an extreme rushing game script.The model projects the Detroit Lions as the 5th-most run-heavy team on the slate this week with a 45.4% run rate, accounting for their underlying play style and matchup dynamics.Our trusted projections expect Jahmyr Gibbs to accumulate 14.4 rush attempts this week, on average, placing him in the 78th percentile when it comes to RBs.Out of all RBs, Jahmyr Gibbs ranks in the 85th percentile for carries this year, taking on 55.1% of the workload in his offense's running game.Jahmyr Gibbs's ground effectiveness (5.50 adjusted yards per carry) has been some of the best in the NFL this year (95th percentile among running backs).
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