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Jahmyr Gibbs

Jahmyr Gibbs Rushing Yards
Player Prop Week 7

Detroit Lions vs Tampa Bay Buccaneers

 
 
 
Jahmyr Gibbs Rushing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 58.5 (-115/-115).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 64.5 @ -118 before it was bet down to 58.5 @ -115.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • This week's line indicates a rushing game script for the Lions, who are favored by 6 points.
  • The predictive model expects the Detroit Lions to be the 4th-most run-focused team in the league (adjusted for context) at the moment with a 41.9% run rate.
  • Jahmyr Gibbs has been given 53.6% of his team's run game usage this year, ranking him in the 83rd percentile when it comes to RBs.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • The leading projections forecast this game to have the fewest plays run among all games this week at 124.9 plays, given the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
  • This game will be played in a dome—which means no wind, increased pass volume, increased touchdown potential, and increased passing efficiency.
  • Jahmyr Gibbs has rushed for many fewer adjusted yards per game (61.0) this season than he did last season (87.0).
  • Jahmyr Gibbs's 4.9 adjusted yards per carry this season illustrates a noteable reduction in his running prowess over last season's 5.9 figure.
  • With a very bad record of 2.52 yards after contact (21st percentile) this year, Jahmyr Gibbs places as one of the easiest-to-tackle running backs in football.

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