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Jahmyr Gibbs

Jahmyr Gibbs Rushing Yards
Player Prop Week 6

Kansas City Chiefs vs Detroit Lions

 
 
 
Jahmyr Gibbs Rushing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 65.5 (-112/-112).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 70.5 @ -114 before it was bet down to 65.5 @ -112.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • At the moment, the 7th-most run-centric team in the league (41.5% context-neutralized) according to the projection model is the Detroit Lions.
  • Among all running backs, Jahmyr Gibbs grades out in the 82nd percentile for rush attempts this year, comprising 50.0% of the workload in his team's rushing attack.
  • Since the start of last season, the poor Kansas City Chiefs run defense has surrendered a monstrous 4.29 adjusted yards-per-carry (YPC) to the opposition's rushing attack: the 26th-worst rate in the NFL.
  • The Kansas City Chiefs defensive tackles grade out as the 2nd-worst collection of DTs in football this year when it comes to run defense.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • At the moment, the most sluggish paced offense in the NFL (adjusted for context) according to the predictive model is the Lions.
  • Jahmyr Gibbs's 51.0 adjusted yards per game on the ground this season indicates a noteworthy regression in his rushing talent over last season's 87.0 figure.
  • Jahmyr Gibbs's 5.1 adjusted yards per carry this season reflects a material reduction in his running talent over last season's 5.9 rate.
  • Jahmyr Gibbs grades out as one of the bottom RBs in football at generating extra running yardage, averaging a mere 2.59 yards-after-contact this year while checking in at the 22nd percentile.

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