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Jahmyr Gibbs

Jahmyr Gibbs Rushing Yards
Player Prop Week 5

Cincinnati Bengals vs Detroit Lions

 
 
 
Jahmyr Gibbs Rushing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 72.5 (-111/-100).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 71.5 @ -219 before it was bet up to 72.5 @ -111.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • This game's line suggests an extreme running game script for the Lions, who are a massive favorite by 10 points.
  • Given their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics, the projections expect the Detroit Lions to run on 46.9% of their opportunities: the 3rd-greatest frequency among all teams this week.
  • This week, Jahmyr Gibbs is predicted by the projections to position himself in the 80th percentile when it comes to running backs with 14.5 carries.
  • This year, the porous Cincinnati Bengals run defense has yielded a monstrous 140.0 adjusted yards per game on the ground to opposing teams: the 6th-worst in football.
  • The Bengals linebackers profile as the 5th-worst unit in the league this year in regard to stopping the run.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • Our trusted projections expect this game to see the 3rd-smallest number of plays run out of all the games this week at 125.8 plays, given the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
  • Jahmyr Gibbs's 65.2% Snap% this season indicates a noteable progression in his offensive workload over last season's 49.6% rate.
  • Jahmyr Gibbs's 60.0 adjusted yards per game on the ground this year conveys a material drop-off in his running proficiency over last year's 87.0 figure.
  • Jahmyr Gibbs's ground effectiveness has tailed off this year, totaling a measly 5.18 adjusted yards-per-carry compared to a 5.93 mark last year.

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