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Jahmyr Gibbs

Jahmyr Gibbs Rushing Yards
Player Prop Week 4

Detroit Lions vs Cleveland Browns

Jahmyr Gibbs Rushing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 65.5 (-105/-125).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

The model projects the Lions offensive gameplan to tilt 1.1% more towards rushing than it did last season (context-neutralized) with offensive coordinator John Morton now calling the plays.

An extreme rushing game script is suggested by the Lions being a heavy 10-point favorite in this game.

Given their underlying traits and matchup dynamics, the leading projections forecast the Lions to run on 45.2% of their downs: the 8th-highest clip among all teams this week.

The model projects the Detroit Lions to call the 9th-most plays on offense on the slate this week with 64.8 plays, accounting for their underlying tendencies and game dynamics.

The 5th-most plays in the league have been run by the Detroit Lions since the start of last season (a staggering 59.3 per game on average).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

This game will be played in a dome—which means no wind, increased pass volume, increased touchdown potential, and better passing effectiveness.

Jahmyr Gibbs's 50.0 adjusted rushing yards per game this season marks a noteable decrease in his rushing prowess over last season's 87.0 rate.

Jahmyr Gibbs's running effectiveness has worsened this season, averaging a measly 4.62 adjusted yards-per-carry compared to a 5.93 mark last season.

The Cleveland defensive ends project as the best group of DEs in football since the start of last season in regard to stopping the run.

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