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Jahmyr Gibbs Rushing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 59.5 (-105/-125).
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FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
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The 6th-largest volume of plays in the NFL have been called by the Lions since the start of last season (a massive 59.3 per game on average).The Lions have played in the most "low wind" (4-mph or less) games in the league since the start of last season, which ought to mean lower pass volume, higher running volume, and reduced offense results when facing windier conditions in this week's contest.Among all running backs, Jahmyr Gibbs grades out in the 81st percentile for rush attempts this year, accounting for 46.2% of the workload in his offense's run game.With a fantastic tally of 84.0 adjusted yards per game on the ground (97th percentile), Jahmyr Gibbs places as one of the top RBs in football since the start of last season.Jahmyr Gibbs's running efficiency (5.75 adjusted yards per carry) has been some of the best in football this year (92nd percentile among RBs).
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FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
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The Lions are a 4.5-point underdog in this week's game, likely creating a passing game script.The projections expect the Lions as the least run-focused team among all teams this week with a 39.6% run rate, given their underlying strategic approach and matchup dynamics.Our trusted projections expect the Lions to run the fewest total plays among all teams this week with 63.4 plays, given their underlying play style and game dynamics.The forecast calls for 4-mph wind in this game. Low wind typically means increased pass volume, and lower ground volume, increased touchdown potential, and increased passing efficiency.Since the start of last season, the formidable Ravens run defense has yielded a mere 82.0 adjusted yards per game on the ground to opposing offenses: the fewest in the league.
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