Jahmyr Gibbs Rushing Yards - Player Prop Bet Week 17

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Jahmyr Gibbs

NFL · Player Props

Jahmyr Gibbs

RB · Detroit Lions

Rushing Yards

Minnesota Vikings vs Detroit Lions · Week 17, 2025

Updated Dec 26, 2025 1:07 AM UTC

Analysis

Jahmyr Gibbs Rushing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 77.5 (-125/-103).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 73.5 @ -114 before it was bet up to 77.5 @ -125.

Key Factors

Favors Over

The Lions are a 6-point favorite in this week's game, likely creating a rushing game script.
Given their underlying play style and game dynamics, the Lions are expected by the model to run 66.4 offensive plays in this contest: the 6th-highest number on the slate this week.
The predictive model expects Jahmyr Gibbs to earn 15.9 rush attempts this week, on average, placing him in the 85th percentile when it comes to running backs.
Jahmyr Gibbs has garnered 58.5% of his team's rush attempts this year, ranking him in the 88th percentile when it comes to running backs.
Jahmyr Gibbs's running efficiency (5.50 adjusted yards per carry) has been some of the best in the NFL this year (98th percentile when it comes to running backs).

Favors Under

Accounting for their underlying traits and matchup dynamics, the model projects the Lions to run on 41.7% of their chances: the 11th-lowest rate on the slate this week.
The passing attacks of both teams (including both volume and effectiveness) ought to benefit from the still "weather" conditions (read: zero wind) inside this dome, while ground volume may slide.
Jahmyr Gibbs's 71.0 adjusted yards per game on the ground this year shows a noteable decline in his rushing ability over last year's 87.0 mark.
As it relates to the defensive tackles' role in run defense, Minnesota's DT corps has been exceptional this year, projecting as the 2nd-best in the NFL.

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