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Jahmyr Gibbs

Jahmyr Gibbs Rushing Yards
Player Prop Week 17

Minnesota Vikings vs Detroit Lions

 
 
 
Jahmyr Gibbs Rushing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 76.5 (-125/-103).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 73.5 @ -114 before it was bet up to 76.5 @ -125.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • The Lions are a 6-point favorite in this week's game, likely creating a rushing game script.
  • Given their underlying play style and game dynamics, the Lions are expected by the model to run 66.1 offensive plays in this contest: the 7th-highest number on the slate this week.
  • The predictive model expects Jahmyr Gibbs to earn 16.0 rush attempts this week, on average, placing him in the 85th percentile when it comes to running backs.
  • Jahmyr Gibbs has garnered 58.5% of his team's rush attempts this year, ranking him in the 88th percentile when it comes to running backs.
  • Jahmyr Gibbs's running efficiency (5.50 adjusted yards per carry) has been some of the best in the NFL this year (98th percentile when it comes to running backs).

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • Accounting for their underlying traits and matchup dynamics, the model projects the Lions to run on 41.9% of their chances: the 11th-lowest rate on the slate this week.
  • The passing attacks of both teams (including both volume and effectiveness) ought to benefit from the still "weather" conditions (read: zero wind) inside this dome, while ground volume may slide.
  • Jahmyr Gibbs's 71.0 adjusted yards per game on the ground this year shows a noteable decline in his rushing ability over last year's 87.0 mark.
  • As it relates to the defensive tackles' role in run defense, Minnesota's DT corps has been exceptional this year, projecting as the 2nd-best in the NFL.

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