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Jahmyr Gibbs

Jahmyr Gibbs Rushing Yards
Player Prop Week 16

Detroit Lions vs Pittsburgh Steelers

 
 
 
Jahmyr Gibbs Rushing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 78.5 (-125/-103).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 72.5 @ -114 before it was bet up to 78.5 @ -125.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • With a 7.5-point advantage, the Lions are a massive favorite this week, indicating much more of a focus on running than their usual approach.
  • The Lions have been the 10th-most run-centric offense in football (adjusted for context) this year with a 42.0% run rate.
  • Accounting for their underlying traits and game dynamics, the Detroit Lions are projected by the projections to run 67.1 total plays in this contest: the 4th-highest number among all teams this week.
  • Our trusted projections expect Jahmyr Gibbs to garner 17.5 carries in this week's game, on balance, ranking him in the 93rd percentile among RBs.
  • Among all RBs, Jahmyr Gibbs ranks in the 88th percentile for rush attempts this year, accounting for 58.3% of the workload in his team's rushing attack.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • This game will be played in a dome—meaning zero wind, increased pass volume, increased TD potential, and increased passing effectiveness.
  • Jahmyr Gibbs's 76.0 adjusted rushing yards per game this year illustrates a remarkable drop-off in his rushing talent over last year's 87.0 figure.
  • As it relates to the defensive ends' role in run defense, Pittsburgh's collection of DEs has been fantastic this year, projecting as the 2nd-best in the league.

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