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Jahmyr Gibbs

Jahmyr Gibbs Rushing Yards
Player Prop Week 16

Detroit Lions vs Pittsburgh Steelers

 
 
 
Jahmyr Gibbs Rushing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 69.5 (-118/-115).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 71.5 @ -115 before it was bet down to 69.5 @ -115.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • With a 7-point advantage, the Lions are a massive favorite this week, indicating much more of a focus on running than their usual approach.
  • Based on the game dynamics and the underlying traits of each team, this contest is projected by the projections to see 134.9 offensive plays called: the 2nd-highest number on the slate this week.
  • Our trusted projections expect Jahmyr Gibbs to garner 17.6 carries in this week's game, on balance, ranking him in the 91st percentile among RBs.
  • Among all RBs, Jahmyr Gibbs ranks in the 88th percentile for rush attempts this year, accounting for 58.3% of the workload in his team's rushing attack.
  • With an impressive rate of 5.69 adjusted yards per carry (98th percentile), Jahmyr Gibbs stands among the top pure runners in the league this year.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • The predictive model expects the Lions to be the 11th-least run-heavy team on the slate this week with a 41.1% run rate, based on their underlying strategic approach and matchup dynamics.
  • This game will be played in a dome—meaning zero wind, increased pass volume, increased TD potential, and increased passing effectiveness.
  • Jahmyr Gibbs's 76.0 adjusted rushing yards per game this year illustrates a remarkable drop-off in his rushing talent over last year's 87.0 figure.
  • As it relates to the defensive ends' role in run defense, Pittsburgh's collection of DEs has been fantastic this year, projecting as the 2nd-best in the league.

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