Jahmyr Gibbs Rushing Yards - Player Prop Bet Week 15

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NFL · Player Props

Jahmyr Gibbs

RB · Detroit Lions

Rushing Yards

Los Angeles Rams vs Detroit Lions · Week 15, 2025

Updated Dec 15, 2025 12:27 AM UTC

Analysis

Jahmyr Gibbs Rushing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 72.5 (-120/-110).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 73.5 @ -115 before it was bet down to 72.5 @ -110.

Key Factors

Favors Over

The predictive model expects the Detroit Lions to run the 5th-most offensive plays on the slate this week with 67.8 plays, accounting for their underlying strategic approach and game dynamics.
Our trusted projections expect Jahmyr Gibbs to garner 15.9 rush attempts in this contest, on balance, putting him in the 85th percentile among RBs.
Among all running backs, Jahmyr Gibbs ranks in the 88th percentile for carries this year, taking on 57.8% of the workload in his offense's ground game.
Jahmyr Gibbs has grinded out 78.0 adjusted yards per game on the ground this year, one of the largest figures in the NFL when it comes to RBs (97th percentile).
Jahmyr Gibbs's running efficiency (5.85 adjusted yards per carry) has been some of the best in the league this year (100th percentile when it comes to running backs).

Favors Under

The Lions are a 5.5-point underdog in this game, which points towards a passing game script.
Based on their underlying play style and matchup dynamics, the leading projections forecast the Detroit Lions to run on 38.2% of their plays: the 4th-lowest clip on the slate this week.
The forecast calls for 0-mph wind in this game. Low wind usually means higher pass volume, and reduced rush volume, higher touchdown potential, and better passing effectiveness.
This year, the feeble Rams run defense has been gouged for a staggering 3.96 adjusted yards-per-carry (YPC) to the opposition's rushing attack: the 27th-biggest rate in the league.
As it relates to the safeties' role in defending against the run, Los Angeles's collection of safeties has been fantastic this year, projecting as the 3rd-best in the NFL.