My Account Log Out
 
 
Jahmyr Gibbs

Jahmyr Gibbs Rushing Yards
Player Prop Week 15

Los Angeles Rams vs Detroit Lions

 
 
 
Jahmyr Gibbs Rushing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 72.5 (-120/-110).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 73.5 @ -115 before it was bet down to 72.5 @ -110.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • The predictive model expects the Detroit Lions to run the 5th-most offensive plays on the slate this week with 67.8 plays, accounting for their underlying strategic approach and game dynamics.
  • Our trusted projections expect Jahmyr Gibbs to garner 15.9 rush attempts in this contest, on balance, putting him in the 85th percentile among RBs.
  • Among all running backs, Jahmyr Gibbs ranks in the 88th percentile for carries this year, taking on 57.8% of the workload in his offense's ground game.
  • Jahmyr Gibbs has grinded out 78.0 adjusted yards per game on the ground this year, one of the largest figures in the NFL when it comes to RBs (97th percentile).
  • Jahmyr Gibbs's running efficiency (5.85 adjusted yards per carry) has been some of the best in the league this year (100th percentile when it comes to running backs).

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • The Lions are a 5.5-point underdog in this game, which points towards a passing game script.
  • Based on their underlying play style and matchup dynamics, the leading projections forecast the Detroit Lions to run on 38.2% of their plays: the 4th-lowest clip on the slate this week.
  • The forecast calls for 0-mph wind in this game. Low wind usually means higher pass volume, and reduced rush volume, higher touchdown potential, and better passing effectiveness.
  • This year, the feeble Rams run defense has been gouged for a staggering 3.96 adjusted yards-per-carry (YPC) to the opposition's rushing attack: the 27th-biggest rate in the league.
  • As it relates to the safeties' role in defending against the run, Los Angeles's collection of safeties has been fantastic this year, projecting as the 3rd-best in the NFL.

  •  
     
     
     
     
    © 2025 EV Analytics   |   Data by WriteNow™