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Jahmyr Gibbs

Jahmyr Gibbs Rushing Yards
Player Prop Week 13

Detroit Lions vs Green Bay Packers

 
 
 
Jahmyr Gibbs Rushing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 74.5 (-125/-103).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 69.5 @ -114 before it was bet up to 74.5 @ -125.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • With a 3-point advantage, the Lions are favored in this week's contest, implying more of a focus on running than their normal game plan.
  • The leading projections forecast the Lions to call the 5th-most plays on offense among all teams this week with 66.2 plays, accounting for their underlying traits and game dynamics.
  • The leading projections forecast Jahmyr Gibbs to earn 14.9 rush attempts in this game, on balance, placing him in the 85th percentile among RBs.
  • Out of all RBs, Jahmyr Gibbs ranks in the 87th percentile for carries this year, taking on 56.7% of the workload in his team's run game.
  • With an exceptional total of 82.0 adjusted yards per game on the ground (97th percentile), Jahmyr Gibbs rates among the top pure runners in the NFL this year.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • Given their underlying strategic approach and matchup dynamics, the predictive model expects the Lions to run on 39.2% of their opportunities: the 7th-lowest frequency on the slate this week.
  • The pass attacks of both teams (including both volume and effectiveness) stand to benefit from the calm "weather" conditions (meaning no wind) inside this dome, while rush volume may fall-off.
  • The Packers defense boasts the 2nd-best efficiency against opposing running games this year, allowing just 3.81 adjusted yards-per-carry (YPC).
  • As it relates to the safeties' role in defending against the run, Green Bay's collection of safeties has been terrific this year, projecting as the 3rd-best in the league.

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