Jahmyr Gibbs Rushing Yards - Player Prop Bet Week 9

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Jahmyr Gibbs

NFL · Player Props

Jahmyr Gibbs

RB · Detroit Lions

Rushing Yards

Green Bay Packers vs Detroit Lions · Week 9, 2024

Updated Nov 4, 2024 12:21 AM EST

Analysis

Jahmyr Gibbs Rushing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 70.5 (-121/-113).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 64.5 @ -115 before it was bet up to 70.5 @ -121.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Accounting for their underlying propensities and matchup dynamics, the predictive model expects the Detroit Lions to run on 47.0% of their opportunities: the 6th-greatest clip among all teams this week.
The projections expect the Detroit Lions to call the 3rd-most total plays on the slate this week with 68.3 plays, given their underlying traits and game dynamics.
Windy weather conditions (like the 13-mph being called for in this game) generally mean decreased passing effectiveness, lower pass volume, and higher ground volume.
In this contest, Jahmyr Gibbs is predicted by the model to slot into the 77th percentile when it comes to RBs with 15.4 carries.
Out of all running backs, Jahmyr Gibbs ranks in the 82nd percentile for rush attempts this year, taking on 46.2% of the workload in his offense's rushing attack.

Favors Under

The 8th-lowest number of plays in the league have been called by the Detroit Lions this year (a lowly 55.4 per game on average).
This year, the feeble Packers run defense has been torched for a monstrous 4.44 adjusted yards-per-carry (YPC) to opposing rushing attacks: the 24th-highest rate in the league.
When it comes to the safeties' role in stopping the run, Green Bay's safety corps has been outstanding this year, grading out as the 4th-best in the league.

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