My Account Log Out
 
 
Jahmyr Gibbs

Jahmyr Gibbs Rushing Yards
Player Prop Week 17

San Francisco 49ers vs Detroit Lions

 
 
 
Jahmyr Gibbs Rushing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 84.5 (-135/+104).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 93.5 @ -112 before it was bet down to 84.5 @ +104.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • With a 3.5-point advantage, the Lions are favored in this week's game, suggesting more of a reliance on running than their typical approach.
  • In this game, Jahmyr Gibbs is expected by the predictive model to slot into the 92nd percentile when it comes to RBs with 18.5 rush attempts.
  • The model projects Jahmyr Gibbs to be a more integral piece of his offense's ground game in this contest (67.3% projected Carry Share) than he has been this year (48.7% in games he has played).
  • Jahmyr Gibbs's 81.0 adjusted yards per game on the ground this year illustrates a material improvement in his running talent over last year's 65.0 rate.
  • Jahmyr Gibbs's running efficiency (5.79 adjusted yards per carry) has been some of the best in the league this year (97th percentile when it comes to running backs).

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • The projections expect the Detroit Lions as the 5th-least run-oriented team on the slate this week with a 42.7% run rate, based on their underlying play style and matchup dynamics.
  • Based on the game dynamics and the underlying traits of each team, this game is expected by our trusted projection set to see just 127.2 plays on offense called: the fewest among all games this week.
  • Still weather conditions (like the 4-mph wind being forecasted in this game) usually prompt increased passing effectiveness, higher touchdown potential, higher air volume, and lower ground volume.

  •  
     
     
     
     
    © 2022 EV Analytics   |   Data by WriteNow™