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Jahmyr Gibbs

Jahmyr Gibbs Receptions
Player Prop Week 9

Detroit Lions vs Minnesota Vikings

 
 
 
Jahmyr Gibbs Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 3.5 (+114/-146).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 3.5 @ -132 before it was bet down to 3.5 @ -146.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • This game will be played in a dome—which means no wind, higher pass volume, higher TD potential, and increased passing effectiveness.
  • Our trusted projections expect Jahmyr Gibbs to total 4.7 targets in this game, on balance, placing him in the 97th percentile when it comes to running backs.
  • With a sizeable 14.9% Target% (97th percentile) this year, Jahmyr Gibbs ranks among the pass-catching running backs with the highest volume in football.
  • With a terrific 3.3 adjusted catches per game (95th percentile) this year, Jahmyr Gibbs rates as one of the top pass-catching RBs in football.
  • Jahmyr Gibbs's 93.7% Adjusted Catch% this year illustrates a material improvement in his pass-catching skills over last year's 82.3% figure.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • The Lions are a heavy 9.5-point favorite in this week's contest, likely creating an extreme rushing game script.
  • Accounting for their underlying propensities and matchup dynamics, our trusted projections expect the Detroit Lions to pass on 54.6% of their chances: the 4th-lowest rate among all teams this week.
  • At the moment, the most sluggish paced offense in the league (in a neutral context) according to the predictive model is the Detroit Lions.
  • Opposing quarterbacks have averaged 27.6 pass attempts per game versus the Minnesota Vikings defense this year: 2nd-fewest in the NFL.
  • This year, the strong Vikings defense has surrendered a mere 75.6% Adjusted Completion Rate vs. opposing running backs: the 6th-smallest rate in football.

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