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Jahmyr Gibbs

Jahmyr Gibbs Receptions
Player Prop Week 18

Chicago Bears vs Detroit Lions

 
 
 
Jahmyr Gibbs Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 4.5 (+120/-155).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 4.5 @ -105 before it was bet down to 4.5 @ -155.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • An extreme passing game script is indicated by the Lions being an enormous -10.5-point underdog this week.
  • The predictive model expects the Detroit Lions as the 7th-most pass-focused offense among all teams this week with a 60.3% pass rate, accounting for their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
  • The predictive model expects this game to have the 2nd-highest number of plays run on the slate this week at 135.3 plays, given the play styles of each team and game dynamics.
  • In this week's contest, Jahmyr Gibbs is predicted by the projections to slot into the 99th percentile among RBs with 7.8 targets.
  • Jahmyr Gibbs's 18.1% Target Rate this year marks a noteworthy gain in his passing offense usage over last year's 12.4% figure.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • Opposing quarterbacks have averaged 31.7 pass attempts per game versus the Chicago Bears defense this year: 7th-fewest in the NFL.
  • The Lions offensive line grades out as the 8th-worst in football this year in protecting the quarterback, which has a negative impact on all passing offense stats across the board.

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