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Jahmyr Gibbs

Jahmyr Gibbs Receptions
Player Prop Week 12

Detroit Lions vs New York Giants

 
 
 
Jahmyr Gibbs Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 3.5 (-126/-102).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 3.5 @ -114 before it was bet up to 3.5 @ -126.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • The model projects the Detroit Lions to run the 3rd-most total plays on the slate this week with 66.9 plays, accounting for their underlying strategic approach and game dynamics.
  • The air attacks of both teams (as it relates to both volume and effectiveness) ought to benefit from the calm "weather" conditions (as in no wind) inside this dome, while ground volume may suffer.
  • In this contest, Jahmyr Gibbs is expected by the predictive model to place in the 96th percentile when it comes to running backs with 5.5 targets.
  • Jahmyr Gibbs has been a key part of his team's pass game, posting a Target Share of 15.2% this year, which ranks in the 97th percentile among running backs.
  • Jahmyr Gibbs is positioned as one of the best running backs in the pass game this year, averaging an excellent 3.4 adjusted catches per game while checking in at the 94th percentile.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • An extreme rushing game script is indicated by the Lions being an enormous 14-point favorite in this week's game.
  • The model projects the Detroit Lions as the 8th-least pass-heavy offense on the slate this week with a 55.2% pass rate, given their underlying traits and matchup dynamics.
  • When talking about pocket protection (and the ramifications it has on all passing attack stats), the offensive line of the Lions ranks as the 8th-worst in the league this year.

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