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Jahmyr Gibbs

Jahmyr Gibbs Receptions
Player Prop Week 11

Philadelphia Eagles vs Detroit Lions

 
 
 
Jahmyr Gibbs Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 3.5 (-105/-130).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 3.5 @ +135 before it was bet up to 3.5 @ -105.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • In this week's contest, Jahmyr Gibbs is projected by the projections to place in the 95th percentile when it comes to RBs with 4.6 targets.
  • Jahmyr Gibbs has been a key part of his team's passing offense, posting a Target Share of 13.9% this year, which puts him in the 95th percentile when it comes to running backs.
  • Jahmyr Gibbs profiles as one of the best RB receiving threats this year, averaging a remarkable 3.2 adjusted receptions per game while grading out in the 94th percentile.
  • Jahmyr Gibbs's possession skills have improved this year, with his Adjusted Completion Rate increasing from 82.3% to 92.1%.
  • The Eagles pass defense has yielded the 9th-highest Adjusted Completion% in the league (85.7%) versus running backs this year (85.7%).

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • The Lions rank as the 6th-least pass-centric team in football (adjusted for context) this year with a 57.8% pass rate.
  • The projections expect the Lions to run the 4th-fewest plays on offense on the slate this week with 62.8 plays, given their underlying propensities and game dynamics.
  • The forecast calls for 12-mph wind in this game. High wind generally means lower pass volume (and higher run volume) and lessened passing efficiency.
  • The Eagles linebackers rank as the best group of LBs in the league this year in pass coverage.

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