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Jahmyr Gibbs

Jahmyr Gibbs Receptions
Player Prop Week 10

Washington Commanders vs Detroit Lions

 
 
 
Jahmyr Gibbs Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 2.5 (-190/+140).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 2.5 @ -140 before it was bet up to 2.5 @ -190.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • The model projects Jahmyr Gibbs to total 4.0 targets in this week's game, on average, putting him in the 91st percentile when it comes to running backs.
  • Jahmyr Gibbs has been an integral part of his team's offense, garnering a Target Share of 14.0% this year, which ranks him in the 95th percentile when it comes to running backs.
  • With an exceptional 2.9 adjusted receptions per game (93rd percentile) this year, Jahmyr Gibbs rates as one of the top pass-catching running backs in the league.
  • Jahmyr Gibbs's 94.3% Adjusted Completion% this year marks a material growth in his receiving proficiency over last year's 82.3% figure.
  • As it relates to linebackers in pass coverage, Washington's group of LBs has been atrocious this year, grading out as the 3rd-worst in the NFL.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • This week's spread indicates an extreme running game script for the Lions, who are overwhelmingly favored by 8 points.
  • Our trusted projections expect the Detroit Lions as the 5th-least pass-focused team among all teams this week with a 53.2% pass rate, given their underlying strategic approach and matchup dynamics.
  • At the moment, the 3rd-slowest paced offense in football (context-neutralized) according to the predictive model is the Detroit Lions.

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