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Jahmyr Gibbs

Jahmyr Gibbs Receptions
Player Prop Week 1

Green Bay Packers vs Detroit Lions

 
 
 
Jahmyr Gibbs Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 3.5 (+109/-129).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 2.5 @ +116 before it was bet up to 3.5 @ +109.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • The 6th-most plays in the NFL have been called by the Lions last year (a staggering 59.6 per game on average).
  • In this contest, Jahmyr Gibbs is predicted by the predictive model to secure a spot in the 96th percentile when it comes to running backs with 4.7 targets.
  • Jahmyr Gibbs places in the 96th percentile among RB WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced stat that measures high-value offensive usage) with a superb 20.5 figure last year.
  • With an impressive 3.1 adjusted catches per game (93rd percentile) last year, Jahmyr Gibbs ranks as one of the top RBs in the pass game in the NFL.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • The predictive model expects this game to see the 2nd-smallest number of plays run among all games this week at 125.5 plays, based on the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
  • The Detroit Lions have played in the most "low wind" (4-mph or less) games in the NFL last year, which ought to result in reduced pass volume, higher running volume, and reduced pass game performance when facing windier conditions in this week's contest.
  • The Green Bay Packers safeties profile as the 2nd-best safety corps in the NFL last year in defending receivers.

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