My Account Log Out

reorder

Jahmyr Gibbs

Jahmyr Gibbs Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 7

Detroit Lions vs Tampa Bay Buccaneers

Jahmyr Gibbs Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 25.5 (-115/+110).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 22.5 @ -130 before it was bet up to 25.5 @ -115.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

This game will be played in a dome—which means no wind, increased pass volume, increased touchdown potential, and increased passing efficiency.

This week, Jahmyr Gibbs is anticipated by the model to slot into the 97th percentile among RBs with 5.1 targets.

Jahmyr Gibbs's 23.2 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced statistic that assesses high-value offensive involvement) has been quite a bit higher this year than it was last year at 18.2.

Jahmyr Gibbs's receiving reliability have gotten better this year, with his Adjusted Catch Rate increasing from 82.3% to 93.3%.

This year, the poor Buccaneers pass defense has conceded a colossal 88.6% Adjusted Completion Rate versus opposing RBs: the worst rate in football.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

This week's line indicates a rushing game script for the Lions, who are favored by 6 points.

Given their underlying play style and matchup dynamics, our trusted projections expect the Detroit Lions to pass on 57.1% of their plays: the 6th-lowest clip on the slate this week.

The leading projections forecast this game to have the fewest plays run among all games this week at 124.9 plays, given the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.

When it comes to pass-blocking (and the importance it has on all passing attack stats), the offensive line of the Detroit Lions ranks as the worst in the league this year.

Jahmyr Gibbs's 18.0 adjusted yards per game on passes this year reflects a substantial decrease in his pass-catching talent over last year's 29.0 rate.

More Jahmyr Gibbs Player Props

© 2022 EV Analytics | Data by WriteNow™