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Jahmyr Gibbs

Jahmyr Gibbs Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 6

Kansas City Chiefs vs Detroit Lions

 
 
 
Jahmyr Gibbs Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 28.5 (-112/+100).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 24.5 @ -120 before it was bet up to 28.5 @ -112.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • This week, Jahmyr Gibbs is projected by the projection model to rank in the 96th percentile when it comes to running backs with 5.6 targets.
  • Jahmyr Gibbs's 24.9 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced stat that weighs high-value offensive involvement) has been significantly better this year than it was last year at 18.2.
  • Jahmyr Gibbs's 96.4% Adjusted Completion Rate this year illustrates a substantial improvement in his receiving ability over last year's 82.3% mark.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • Our trusted projections expect the Detroit Lions to be the 7th-least pass-heavy offense in the league (adjusted for context) at the moment with a 58.5% pass rate.
  • At the moment, the most sluggish paced offense in the NFL (adjusted for context) according to the predictive model is the Lions.
  • Opposing offenses teams have been afraid to rely on the passing game too much against the Chiefs, averaging the 9th-fewest attempts in the NFL (a lowly 31.2 per game) this year.
  • When talking about pocket protection (and the impact it has on all passing attack statistics), the O-line of the Lions profiles as the 10th-worst in the NFL this year.
  • Jahmyr Gibbs has notched substantially fewer adjusted receiving yards per game (18.0) this year than he did last year (29.0).

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