My Account Log Out

reorder

Jahmyr Gibbs

Jahmyr Gibbs Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 5

Cincinnati Bengals vs Detroit Lions

Jahmyr Gibbs Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 25.5 (-130/+100).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 20.5 @ -140 before it was bet up to 25.5 @ -130.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Opposing teams have averaged 39.2 pass attempts per game against the Cincinnati Bengals defense this year: 8th-most in the league.

In this week's game, Jahmyr Gibbs is anticipated by the projection model to slot into the 98th percentile when it comes to running backs with 5.2 targets.

Jahmyr Gibbs's 18.8% Target% this year conveys a significant growth in his pass attack workload over last year's 12.4% figure.

Jahmyr Gibbs's 96.1% Adjusted Catch Rate this year marks a significant progression in his pass-catching ability over last year's 82.3% figure.

The Bengals pass defense has been torched for the highest Adjusted Completion% in the NFL (91%) vs. RBs since the start of last season (91.0%).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

This game's line suggests an extreme running game script for the Lions, who are a massive favorite by 10 points.

Our trusted projections expect the Detroit Lions to be the 3rd-least pass-focused offense among all teams this week with a 53.1% pass rate, accounting for their underlying strategic approach and matchup dynamics.

Our trusted projections expect this game to see the 3rd-smallest number of plays run out of all the games this week at 125.8 plays, given the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.

Jahmyr Gibbs has put up quite a few less adjusted receiving yards per game (17.0) this season than he did last season (29.0).

Jahmyr Gibbs's pass-game effectiveness has declined this season, averaging a mere 4.15 adjusted yards-per-target compared to a 7.88 rate last season.

More Jahmyr Gibbs Player Props

© 2022 EV Analytics | Data by WriteNow™