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Jahmyr Gibbs

Jahmyr Gibbs Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 2

Detroit Lions vs Chicago Bears

 
 
 
Jahmyr Gibbs Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 29.5 (-113/-118).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 25.5 @ -120 before it was bet up to 29.5 @ -113.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • This game will be played in a dome—which means zero wind, higher pass volume, higher touchdown potential, and better passing effectiveness.
  • In this game, Jahmyr Gibbs is anticipated by the predictive model to finish in the 98th percentile when it comes to RBs with 5.2 targets.
  • Jahmyr Gibbs has been a key part of his team's pass game, earning a Target Share of 13.4% since the start of last season, which ranks him in the 95th percentile among RBs.
  • With an exceptional 29.0 adjusted yards per game through the air (97th percentile) since the start of last season, Jahmyr Gibbs stands among the top pass-catching running backs in the league.
  • Jahmyr Gibbs's 100.0% Adjusted Catch Rate this season conveys an impressive boost in his receiving ability over last season's 82.4% rate.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • With a 6.5-point advantage, the Lions are favored in this week's contest, indicating more of an emphasis on rushing than their typical approach.
  • The model projects the Lions to be the 11th-least pass-heavy offense among all teams this week with a 57.0% pass rate, given their underlying play style and matchup dynamics.
  • At the present time, the 5th-slowest paced team in football (context-neutralized) according to the projections is the Detroit Lions.
  • Opposing quarterbacks have averaged 29.9 pass attempts per game against the Bears defense since the start of last season: 6th-fewest in the league.
  • Jahmyr Gibbs's receiving efficiency has worsened this season, accumulating a mere 3.35 adjusted yards-per-target compared to a 7.89 rate last season.

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