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Jahmyr Gibbs

Jahmyr Gibbs Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 18

Chicago Bears vs Detroit Lions

 
 
 
Jahmyr Gibbs Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 26.5 (-111/-111).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 32.5 @ -111 before it was bet down to 26.5 @ -111.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • An extreme passing game script is indicated by the Lions being an enormous -10.5-point underdog this week.
  • The predictive model expects the Detroit Lions as the 7th-most pass-focused offense among all teams this week with a 60.3% pass rate, accounting for their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
  • The predictive model expects this game to have the 2nd-highest number of plays run on the slate this week at 135.3 plays, given the play styles of each team and game dynamics.
  • In this week's contest, Jahmyr Gibbs is predicted by the projections to slot into the 99th percentile among RBs with 7.8 targets.
  • Jahmyr Gibbs's 18.1% Target Rate this year marks a noteworthy gain in his passing offense usage over last year's 12.4% figure.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • Opposing quarterbacks have averaged 31.7 pass attempts per game versus the Chicago Bears defense this year: 7th-fewest in the NFL.
  • The Lions offensive line grades out as the 8th-worst in football this year in protecting the quarterback, which has a negative impact on all passing offense stats across the board.
  • Jahmyr Gibbs's pass-catching efficiency has declined this year, compiling a mere 6.84 adjusted yards-per-target vs a 7.89 rate last year.
  • Jahmyr Gibbs's 0.00 yards-after-the-catch (YAC) this year illustrates a remarkable decline in his efficiency in picking up extra yardage over last year's 10.6% rate.
  • This year, the poor Bears defense has conceded a monstrous 37.0 adjusted receiving yards per game versus opposing running backs: the 8th-worst in the league.

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