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Jahmyr Gibbs

Jahmyr Gibbs Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 14

Detroit Lions vs Dallas Cowboys

 
 
 
Jahmyr Gibbs Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 36.5 (-125/-103).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 33.5 @ -114 before it was bet up to 36.5 @ -125.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • The leading projections forecast the Detroit Lions to call the 2nd-most total plays among all teams this week with 66.8 plays, based on their underlying traits and game dynamics.
  • This game will be played in a dome—meaning zero wind, increased pass volume, increased touchdown potential, and increased passing effectiveness.
  • The Cowboys defense has been a notorious pass funnel this year, leading opposing quarterbacks to attempt the 6th-most passes in football (37.9 per game) this year.
  • The leading projections forecast Jahmyr Gibbs to garner 6.8 targets in this week's game, on balance, placing him in the 99th percentile among RBs.
  • Jahmyr Gibbs's 25.0 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced statistic that weighs high-value offensive volume) has been notably higher this year than it was last year at 18.2.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • With a 3.5-point advantage, the Lions are favored this week, suggesting more of a focus on running than their standard game plan.
  • Our trusted projections expect the Detroit Lions to be the 8th-least pass-heavy offense in the NFL (adjusted for context) right now with a 58.6% pass rate.
  • When talking about pocket protection (and the influence it has on all passing game statistics), the O-line of the Detroit Lions grades out as the 9th-worst in football this year.
  • Jahmyr Gibbs's pass-catching effectiveness has declined this season, compiling a measly 7.00 adjusted yards-per-target vs a 7.87 figure last season.
  • Jahmyr Gibbs's 0.00 yards-after-the-catch (YAC) this season marks an impressive regression in his effectiveness in space over last season's 10.6% figure.

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