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Jahmyr Gibbs

Jahmyr Gibbs Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 13

Detroit Lions vs Green Bay Packers

 
 
 
Jahmyr Gibbs Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 41.5 (-115/-112).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 27.5 @ -114 before it was bet up to 41.5 @ -115.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • Based on their underlying strategic approach and matchup dynamics, the leading projections forecast the Lions to pass on 60.8% of their downs: the 7th-highest rate among all teams this week.
  • The leading projections forecast the Lions to call the 5th-most plays on offense among all teams this week with 66.2 plays, accounting for their underlying traits and game dynamics.
  • The pass attacks of both teams (including both volume and effectiveness) stand to benefit from the calm "weather" conditions (meaning no wind) inside this dome, while rush volume may fall-off.
  • Opposing teams have averaged 35.9 pass attempts per game versus the Packers defense this year: 9th-most in football.
  • In this game, Jahmyr Gibbs is expected by the projections to slot into the 99th percentile among running backs with 7.2 targets.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • With a 3-point advantage, the Lions are favored in this week's contest, implying more of a focus on running than their normal game plan.
  • When it comes to air yards, Jahmyr Gibbs ranks in the measly 24th percentile among RBs this year, totaling just -2.0 per game.
  • Jahmyr Gibbs's 7.1 adjusted yards per target this year signifies a remarkable decline in his pass-catching prowess over last year's 7.9 figure.
  • Jahmyr Gibbs's skills in generating extra yardage have diminished this year, notching a measly 0.00 yards-after-the-catch (YAC) vs a 10.56 figure last year.
  • This year, the strong Packers defense has surrendered the 5th-least adjusted yards-per-target in the league to opposing running backs: a puny 5.1 yards.

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