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Jahmyr Gibbs

Jahmyr Gibbs Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 11

Philadelphia Eagles vs Detroit Lions

 
 
 
Jahmyr Gibbs Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 23.5 (-118/-110).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 21.5 @ -116 before it was bet up to 23.5 @ -118.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • In this week's contest, Jahmyr Gibbs is projected by the projections to place in the 95th percentile when it comes to RBs with 4.6 targets.
  • Jahmyr Gibbs has been a key part of his team's passing offense, posting a Target Share of 13.9% this year, which puts him in the 95th percentile when it comes to running backs.
  • With a fantastic 25.0 adjusted yards per game on passes (95th percentile) this year, Jahmyr Gibbs places as one of the top running backs in the pass game in the league.
  • Jahmyr Gibbs's possession skills have improved this year, with his Adjusted Completion Rate increasing from 82.3% to 92.1%.
  • The Eagles pass defense has yielded the 9th-highest Adjusted Completion% in the league (85.7%) versus running backs this year (85.7%).

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • The Lions rank as the 6th-least pass-centric team in football (adjusted for context) this year with a 57.8% pass rate.
  • The projections expect the Lions to run the 4th-fewest plays on offense on the slate this week with 62.8 plays, given their underlying propensities and game dynamics.
  • The forecast calls for 12-mph wind in this game. High wind generally means lower pass volume (and higher run volume) and lessened passing efficiency.
  • When talking about air yards, Jahmyr Gibbs grades out in the lowly 24th percentile among RBs this year, with just -2.0 per game.
  • Jahmyr Gibbs's pass-catching efficiency has tailed off this season, compiling a measly 7.08 adjusted yards-per-target vs a 7.87 rate last season.

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